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The impact of the proposed Charter High School
on property values and Village's revenue

Summary:

  • Based on scientific reports showing how schools have impacted property values across our Nation, we could estimate a conservative 10% increase in our real estate property values over the first five years after the project has been approved by the community.

  • Village's incremental revenues from increased property values over the initial 15 years are estimated at between $19,165419 (NPV of 13,651,898) and $29,284,577 (NPV of $20,851,393). An even more conservative estimate of 5% appreciation over the same period of time would still provide an incremental revenue of $9,407,257 (NPV of $6,703,750).

  • Amortization of capital expenditures would be offset by tangible financial benefits the project would bring to the Village.
     

Questions and Answers:

Q: What does it mean to a Key Biscayne home owner?

Q: What does it mean to the Village of Key Biscayne?

Q: How will property appreciation impact home owners with homestead exception?

Q: How will property appreciation will impact home owners without homestead exception?

Q: What does it financially mean for the High School and Lifelong Learning Center initiative?

Q: Is there real evidence supporting claims about good schools influencing the appreciation of real estate property values?


A: What does it mean to a Key Biscayne home owner?

An estimated 10% increase in property value. And a very possible even higher appreciation once the school is in full operation. Back to questions.

A: What does it mean to the Village of Key Biscayne?

Fiscal year 2008 - 2009 assigned a taxable value of $6,434,727,418 to Key Biscayne's real property, representing $20,591,128 of revenue to the Village. See document here.

Over time, the higher assessed value of properties will provide an additional yearly revenue somewhere between $1,500,000 and $2,262,947, based on an estimated property appreciation between 10% and 15%.  That will translate an amount between $19,165419 (NPV of 13,651,898) and $29,284,577 (NPV of $20,851,393) during the initial 15 years.

An even more conservative estimate of 5% appreciation over the same period of time would still provide an incremental revenue of $9,407,257 (NPV of $6,703,750)

See calculations for 5%, 10% and 15% property appreciation.

Back to questions.

A: How will property appreciation impact home owners with homestead exception?

Residents with homestead exception would not have a tax increase. However, they would enjoy the property appreciation value brought up by the school. Back to questions

A: How will property appreciation will impact home owners without homestead exception?

Property owners without homestead exception may see an increase in their property taxes on the appreciate valuation of the property. However, the return on the taxes will be very handsome. In fact, one of the best investments owners can ever make.

Let's assume a property is valued today at $500,000. With a conservative appreciation of 10% when the school opens, the unrealized capital gain would be $50,000. Property taxes would increase by $1,000 each year (in today's dollars).  

Y 1Y 2Y 3Y 4Y 5Y 6Y 7Y 8Y 9Y 10
Tax $     1,000  $     1,000  $     1,000  $     1,000  $     1,000  $     1,000  $     1,000  $     1,000  $     1,000  $     1,000
Acc. Tax $     1,000  $     2,000  $     3,000  $     4,000  $     5,000  $     6,000  $     7,000  $     8,000  $     9,000  $  10,000
Cap. Gain $  49,000  $  48,000  $  47,000  $  46,000  $  45,000  $  44,000  $  43,000  $  42,000  $  41,000  $  40,000
Return4900%2400%1567%1150%900%733%614%525%456%400%

In fact, it would take 50 years for a non-homesteaded property to start "losing" money. That is just considering a conservative 10% appreciation in the initial five years and no further property appreciation.

Y 11Y 12Y 13Y 14Y 15Y 16Y 17Y 18Y 19Y 20
Tax $     1,000  $     1,000  $     1,000  $     1,000  $     1,000  $     1,000  $     1,000  $     1,000  $     1,000  $     1,000
Acc. Tax $  11,000  $  12,000  $  13,000  $  14,000  $  15,000  $  16,000  $  17,000  $  18,000  $  19,000  $  20,000
Cap. Gain $  39,000  $  38,000  $  37,000  $  36,000  $  35,000  $  34,000  $  33,000  $  32,000  $  31,000  $  30,000
Return355%317%285%257%233%213%194%178%163%150%
Y21Y22Y23Y24Y25Y26Y27Y28Y29Y30
Tax $     1,000  $     1,000  $     1,000  $     1,000  $     1,000  $     1,000  $     1,000  $     1,000  $     1,000  $     1,000
Acc. Tax $  21,000  $  22,000  $  23,000  $  24,000  $  25,000  $  26,000  $  27,000  $  28,000  $  29,000  $  30,000
Cap. Gain $  29,000  $  28,000  $  27,000  $  26,000  $  25,000  $  24,000  $  23,000  $  22,000  $  21,000  $  20,000
Return138%127%117%108%100%92%85%79%72%67%
Y31Y32Y33Y34Y35Y36Y37Y38Y39Y40
Tax $     1,000  $     1,000  $     1,000  $     1,000  $     1,000  $     1,000  $     1,000  $     1,000  $     1,000  $     1,000
Acc. Tax $  31,000  $  32,000  $  33,000  $  34,000  $  35,000  $  36,000  $  37,000  $  38,000  $  39,000  $  40,000
Cap. Gain $  19,000  $  18,000  $  17,000  $  16,000  $  15,000  $  14,000  $  13,000  $  12,000  $  11,000  $  10,000
Return61%56%52%47%43%39%35%32%28%25%
Y41Y42Y43Y44Y45Y46Y47Y48Y49Y50
Tax $     1,000  $     1,000  $     1,000  $     1,000  $     1,000  $     1,000  $     1,000  $     1,000  $     1,000  $     1,000
Acc. Tax $  41,000  $  42,000  $  43,000  $  44,000  $  45,000  $  46,000  $  47,000  $  48,000  $  49,000  $  50,000
Cap. Gain $     9,000  $     8,000  $     7,000  $     6,000  $     5,000  $     4,000  $     3,000  $     2,000  $     1,000  $               -  
Return22%19%16%14%11%9%6%4%2%0%

Back to questions

A: What does it financially mean for the High School and Lifelong Learning Center initiative?

The initiative will not only pay by itself, but will produce additional revenue to the Village which could be used to finance potential school revenue shortfalls, enhanced community programs or other pay for other projects needed by the community. Back to questions

A: Is there real evidence supporting claims about good schools influencing the appreciation of real estate property values?

Most people are familiar with the adage that real estate values are determined by three basic characteristics—location, location, location. But real estate agents, appraisers, home builders and tax authorities overwhelmingly agree that proximity to high-quality schools is now the No. 1 factor in determining what a home is worth in any given market.

Scientific data produced by many research projects in communities across our country confirm what most people sense: good schools command higher real estate property premiums, and excellent schools much higher prices.

Based on scientific data, we would expect proposed High School / Lifelong Learning Center will increase real estate property values by at least 10% during the first few years of operation. Additional upside potential would be expected as school quality is recognized.

In the case of Key Biscayne, the impact may be felt much sooner, perhaps as soon as the project is approved and shortly after construction begins, as we do not even have a high school today within our community.

It will not just represent an improvement, but a basic service many families and even childless families look for, and our community can not provide today.

Please read these reports if you would like to get scientific and unbiased information about how a good school can benefit you, an our entire community:

Back to questions